tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 19%

  1. 12:40 ONT → 13:45 LAS
    WN 3151 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 64% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 LAS → 22:10 BWI
    WN 2205 · Southwest · 4h 38m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 33mONT 12:40 to BWI 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.