tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Las Vegas via Oakland: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:00 ONT → 17:15 OAK
    WN 3155 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 OAK → 19:45 LAS
    WN 4693 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip3h 45mONT 16:00 to LAS 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.