tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Newark via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 17:15 ONT → 18:35 PHX
    WN 3159 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:14 PHX → 06:00 EWR +1 day
    AA 2156 · American · 4h 46m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 45mONT 17:15 to EWR 06:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.