tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:30 DAL → 16:40 LAX
    WN 3161 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAX → 19:10 SMF
    WN 4500 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 40mDAL 15:30 to SMF 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.