tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Phoenix via Sacramento: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 ONT → 07:25 SMF
    WN 3165 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:52 SMF → 11:50 PHX
    AA 4099 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 50mONT 06:00 to PHX 11:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.