tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Portland via Sacramento: arrives on time 68%

  1. 12:00 ONT → 13:20 SMF
    WN 3167 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 92% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:15 SMF → 15:45 PDX
    WN 422 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip3h 45mONT 12:00 to PDX 15:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.