tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via Denver: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:30 MCI → 09:18 DEN
    WN 3169 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 DEN → 11:55 SMF
    WN 1740 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 25mMCI 08:30 to SMF 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.