tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Orlando via Sacramento: arrives on time 67%

  1. 18:30 ONT → 19:55 SMF
    WN 3170 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO +1 day
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 45mONT 18:30 to MCO 06:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.