tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 86%

  1. 18:30 ONT → 19:55 SMF
    WN 3170 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 SMF → 23:50 SEA
    WN 4985 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 20mONT 18:30 to SEA 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.