tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Pensacola via Houston: arrives on time 49%

  1. 09:40 MCO → 11:10 HOU
    WN 3174 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 HOU → 13:30 PNS
    WN 4795 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 50mMCO 09:40 to PNS 13:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.