tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Denver via Nashville: arrives on time 40%

  1. 11:25 ORF → 12:15 BNA
    WN 3182 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 BNA → 15:25 DEN
    WN 503 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 00mORF 11:25 to DEN 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.