Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
West Palm Beach → Islip via Baltimore: arrives on time 30%
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19:05 PBI → 21:35 BWIWN 3191 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 63% on time, 2.4% cancelled
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50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:25 BWI → 23:35 ISPWN 4321 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 57% on time, 5.3% cancelled
Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 35mPBI 19:05 to ISP 23:35, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.