tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:50 PDX → 17:45 MDW
    WN 3202 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 MDW → 21:55 BWI
    WN 2745 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 66% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 05mPDX 11:50 to BWI 21:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.