tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 11:50 PDX → 17:45 MDW
    WN 3202 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MDW → 21:50 PHL
    WN 4263 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 51% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 05mPDX 11:50 to PHL 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.