tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 94%

  1. 23:30 PDX → 05:20 MDW
    WN 3203 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 89% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 MDW → 09:10 MSP +1 day
    WN 1243 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 40mPDX 23:30 to MSP 09:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.