tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 8%

  1. 05:50 AUS → 06:35 LAS
    WN 321 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:58 LAS → 09:32 SFO
    WN 2934 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 9% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (9%).
Total trip5h 43mAUS 05:50 to SFO 09:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.