tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Palm Springs via Sacramento: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:30 PDX → 07:00 SMF
    WN 3211 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:50 SMF → 09:20 PSP
    WN 2189 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip3h 50mPDX 05:30 to PSP 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.