tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kailua/Kona via Sacramento: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:30 PDX → 07:00 SMF
    WN 3211 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 SMF → 12:20 KOA
    WN 3783 · Southwest · 5h 20m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 50mPDX 05:30 to KOA 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.