tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → St Louis via Houston: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:25 SAN → 21:40 HOU
    WN 3212 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 HOU → 00:45 STL +1 day
    WN 2087 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 15mSAN 16:25 to STL 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.