tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Chicago via Sacramento: arrives on time 79%

  1. 20:15 PDX → 21:48 SMF
    WN 3213 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:50 SMF → 05:45 MDW +1 day
    WN 3802 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 30mPDX 20:15 to MDW 05:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.