tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 19%

  1. 13:55 PHL → 15:02 BNA
    WN 3216 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 65% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 BNA → 17:50 MDW
    WN 2241 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 27% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip4h 55mPHL 13:55 to MDW 17:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.