tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Los Angeles via Nashville: arrives on time 15%

  1. 13:55 PHL → 15:02 BNA
    WN 3216 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 65% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 BNA → 18:10 LAX
    WN 551 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip7h 15mPHL 13:55 to LAX 18:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.