tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Birmingham via Nashville: arrives on time 33%

  1. 20:20 PHL → 21:40 BNA
    WN 3217 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 72% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BNA → 23:40 BHM
    WN 4559 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip4h 20mPHL 20:20 to BHM 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.