tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Kansas City via Nashville: arrives on time 28%

  1. 20:20 PHL → 21:40 BNA
    WN 3217 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 72% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 BNA → 00:15 MCI +1 day
    WN 563 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip4h 55mPHL 20:20 to MCI 00:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.