tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Norfolk via Philadelphia: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:10 MDW → 12:10 PHL
    WN 3222 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:32 PHL → 16:52 ORF
    AA 4749 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 42mMDW 09:10 to ORF 16:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.