tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Memphis via Houston: arrives on time 15%

  1. 14:10 LAX → 19:35 HOU
    WN 3225 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 24% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 HOU → 22:10 MEM
    WN 4745 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection24%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 76% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (24%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 03mLAX 14:10 to MEM 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.