tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New Orleans via Houston: arrives on time 21%

  1. 14:10 LAX → 19:35 HOU
    WN 3225 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 24% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 HOU → 21:55 MSY
    WN 4756 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection31%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 69% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (31%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 40mLAX 14:10 to MSY 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.