tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Raleigh/Durham via St Louis: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:12 PHL → 07:32 STL
    WN 3227 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 STL → 12:45 RDU
    WN 297 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 33mPHL 06:12 to RDU 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.