tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via St Louis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:12 PHL → 07:32 STL
    WN 3227 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 STL → 11:25 DCA
    WN 3905 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 13mPHL 06:12 to DCA 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.