tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Orlando via St Louis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:12 PHL → 07:32 STL
    WN 3227 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 STL → 13:15 MCO
    WN 3947 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 03mPHL 06:12 to MCO 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.