tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Oakland via Las Vegas: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:35 AUS → 12:20 LAS
    WN 323 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 66% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 LAS → 15:10 OAK
    WN 4488 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip5h 35mAUS 11:35 to OAK 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.