tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New Orleans via Nashville: arrives on time 58%

  1. 05:10 PHX → 10:25 BNA
    WN 3235 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:32 BNA → 15:08 MSY
    WN 595 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 57mPHX 05:10 to MSY 15:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.