tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Jose via Nashville: arrives on time 27%

  1. 13:05 BWI → 14:00 BNA
    WN 3245 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 67% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:05 BNA → 17:40 SJC
    WN 674 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip7h 35mBWI 13:05 to SJC 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.