tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:25 RIC → 08:20 MDW
    WN 3252 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 20mRIC 07:25 to MSP 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.