tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Sioux Falls via Denver: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:15 PHX → 08:00 DEN
    WN 3259 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:55 DEN → 12:35 FSD
    UA 4759 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 20mPHX 05:15 to FSD 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.