tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Denver: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:15 PHX → 08:00 DEN
    WN 3259 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:45 DEN → 14:28 SDF
    UA 1479 · United · 2h 43m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 13mPHX 05:15 to SDF 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.