Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Bozeman via Denver: arrives on time 28%
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08:50 PHX → 11:35 DENWN 3261 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:30 DEN → 14:10 BZNWN 4219 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 20mPHX 08:50 to BZN 14:10, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.