tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Denver: arrives on time 22%

  1. 13:45 PHX → 16:35 DEN
    WN 3264 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 DEN → 21:15 ANC
    WN 2811 · Southwest · 5h 30m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip8h 30mPHX 13:45 to ANC 21:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.