tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Wichita via Denver: arrives on time 18%

  1. 15:25 PHX → 18:10 DEN
    WN 3265 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 DEN → 22:18 ICT
    WN 1551 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 26% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip4h 50mPHX 15:25 to ICT 22:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.