tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Omaha via Denver: arrives on time 20%

  1. 15:25 PHX → 18:10 DEN
    WN 3265 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 DEN → 21:55 OMA
    WN 1659 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip4h 25mPHX 15:25 to OMA 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.