tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Memphis via Denver: arrives on time 13%

  1. 15:25 PHX → 18:10 DEN
    WN 3265 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 22:32 MEM
    WN 2225 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 10mPHX 15:25 to MEM 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.