tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via Denver: arrives on time 16%

  1. 15:25 PHX → 18:10 DEN
    WN 3265 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 DEN → 00:55 TPA +1 day
    WN 2232 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 25mPHX 15:25 to TPA 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.