Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 9%
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15:25 PHX → 18:10 DENWN 3265 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:05 DEN → 22:10 MSPWN 2677 · Southwest · 2h 02m · 34% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip4h 42mPHX 15:25 to MSP 22:10, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.