tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 6%

  1. 16:05 SJC → 18:00 PHX
    WN 3266 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 48% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 PHX → 21:30 PDX
    WN 1682 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 18% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time6%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (18%).
Total trip5h 25mSJC 16:05 to PDX 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.