tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Dallas via Phoenix: arrives on time 21%

  1. 16:05 SJC → 18:00 PHX
    WN 3266 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 48% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 PHX → 23:30 DAL
    WN 193 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 40% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip5h 25mSJC 16:05 to DAL 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.