tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Houston via Phoenix: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:05 SJC → 18:00 PHX
    WN 3266 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 48% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 PHX → 23:15 HOU
    WN 4315 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip5h 50mSJC 16:05 to HOU 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.