tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 90%

  1. 09:30 PHX → 12:55 HNL
    WN 3274 · Southwest · 6h 25m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 HNL → 16:35 OGG
    WN 1932 · Southwest · 45m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 05mPHX 09:30 to OGG 16:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.