tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Columbus via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:45 PHX → 06:50 LAS
    WN 3281 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 100% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 LAS → 14:40 CMH
    WN 2212 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 55mPHX 05:45 to CMH 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.