tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:15 SRQ → 06:55 MDW
    WN 3288 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:50 MDW → 09:10 STL
    WN 2900 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip4h 55mSRQ 05:15 to STL 09:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.