tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Long Beach via Las Vegas: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:55 AUS → 18:45 LAS
    WN 329 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 LAS → 21:10 LGB
    WN 2031 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 15mAUS 17:55 to LGB 21:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.